A childcare place is created where the market will not build one
The Commonwealth expanded demand on a fixed date and 35 per cent of Australians live where supply does not exist. Its answer is to become a builder and landlord — a real departure, at a scale of about 12,000 places.
longest dependent chain
across 3 bodies
scheduling or queue, not assessment
vs. 1575 if run end-to-end
Where the time goes
Critical-path days only. Steps that run alongside others are real work but do not lengthen the process, so counting them here would overstate the prize.
| third party | 485d | Waiting on an external body outside the regulator's control. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| assessment | 480d | Someone is genuinely evaluating the merits. | |
| applicant | 400d | Waiting on the applicant to supply or fix something. | |
| scheduling | 210d | Waiting for a person or committee to become available. |
210 of 1575 elapsed days are spent waiting for a person or a meeting rather than for a judgement to be formed. Removing that time changes no assessment standard and lowers no bar -- it is the cost of scheduling alone.
The process, step by step
Applies when: An area has insufficient early childhood education places and no commercial proposal is forthcoming.
| # | Step | Who | Why it waits | Clock | Typical | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
The area is identified as underserved
assessment
An area where supply does not meet need, on the measure being used. |
Department of Education (Commonwealth) | assessment | — | 90 reported | — |
| 2 |
No commercial proposal emerges
assessment
Whether a private or not-for-profit provider will build there unaided. after
The area is identified as underserved 1120d slack
|
— | third party | — | 365 estimate | — |
| 3 |
Building Early Education Fund round
registration
Applications for capital funding to build or expand a service. after
No commercial proposal emerges 940d slack
|
Department of Education (Commonwealth) | scheduling | — | 180 published | — |
| 4 |
Commonwealth builds, owns and leases the service
decision
only if triggered The Australian Government builds and owns a centre and leases it to an operator. Triggered when: No provider will build even with capital support, so the Commonwealth builds and owns the asset itself. after
Building Early Education Fund round 820d slack
|
Department of Education (Commonwealth) | assessment | — | 120 published | — |
| 5 |
Development approval
decision
The ordinary consent process, unchanged by the source of the capital. after
Building Early Education Fund round 640d slack
|
Consent authority (NSW council) | assessment | — | 300 estimate | Environmental Planning and Assessment Act 1979 (NSW) |
| 6 |
Construction and fit-out
application
after
Development approval 240d slack
|
— | applicant | — | 400 estimate | — |
| 7 |
Secure an operator
application
Find a provider willing to operate the service, including where the Commonwealth owns the building. after
Construction and fit-out 120d slack
|
Department of Education (Commonwealth) | third party | — | 120 estimate | — |
| 8 |
Provider and service approval
registration
The National Law approvals, unchanged. after
Secure an operator 30d slack
|
NSW Early Childhood Education regulatory authority | assessment | 90 | 90 legislated | Education and Care Services National Law |
| 9 | Places available registration | — | scheduling | — | 30 estimate | — |
on the critical path scheduling/queue = delay not caused by the assessment itself
Proposed changes
-
Make the desert measure a trigger, not a research finding
threshold
~180d About 35 per cent of Australians live in a childcare desert and about 1.1 million have no service at all. The measure that establishes this is university research, and the response to it is a discretionary competitive grant round.
Sources
- Mitchell Institute, Victoria University: about 9 million Australians, 35 per cent of the population, live in neighbourhoods classified as childcare deserts, defined as more than three children per place; about 1.1 million live in regional and remote areas with no childcare at all
- Department of Education, Building Early Education Fund: $1 billion, comprising $500 million to build and expand services and $500 million for the Australian Government to build, own and lease services; about 160 centres and about 12,000 additional places
- Department of Education, 3 Day Guarantee: 72 hours per fortnight for all eligible families from 5 January 2026
Something wrong here?
This page is wrong in some way -- every page like it is. If you have run
this process, the most useful thing you can do is tell us which step took
longer than we say and why. Edit
data/processes/au-childcare-desert-supply.toml and open a pull request, or
send us the correction.
